V-Lab
Lepu Scientech Medical Techn ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
4,413.29
1 Week
4,858.93
1 Month
4,212.02
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0990 | 4.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8798 | 69.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0931 | -6.42*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.1787 | 24.30*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9954 | 332.02*** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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