V-Lab
Laekna Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
7,824.52
increased by 2,150.32
1 Week
6,771.71
increased by 1,097.51
1 Month
5,091.69
decreased by 582.51
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5900 | 4.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4455 | 2.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4483 | 5.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -1.3968 | -1.54 |
| γ2 | 3.8155 | 2.23** |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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