V-Lab
Laekna Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
7,106.65
1 Week
6,407.13
1 Month
4,542.35
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3173 | 7.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6735 | 151.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3173 | -4.86*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.3300 | 36.83*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0053 | 22.37*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9724 | 298.47*** |
Persistence:
0.832
Half-life:
4 days
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