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V-Lab

Kitano Construction Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

684.21

increased by 28.37

1 Week

621.10

decreased by 34.74

1 Month

540.87

decreased by 114.97

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kitano Construction Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0484
7.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1402
18.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8539
108.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0003
0.35

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

118 days