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Kitano Construction Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

751.82

increased by 45.48

1 Week

658.28

decreased by 48.06

1 Month

519.40

decreased by 186.94

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kitano Construction Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 757 trading days (~3.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 53% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
16.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1069
36.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8636
499.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0571
10.23***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

757 days