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V-Lab

Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

628.77

decreased by 69.16

1 Week

665.69

decreased by 32.24

1 Month

1,086.94

increased by 389.01

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 18, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4646
4.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1025
9.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8725
61.82***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.5003
-8.39***
γ20.8190
9.38***
γ3-0.5870
-9.47***
γ40.4828
7.18***
γ5-0.3844
-4.89***
γ60.0576
0.44

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days