V-Lab
Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
1,031.88
1 Week
1,012.11
1 Month
1,365.87
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1305 | 0.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7288 | 7.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1305 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.7008 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0661 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9339 | 5.05*** |
Persistence:
0.794
Half-life:
3 days
Other Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Co Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities