Kudo Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
9,314.50
increased by 6,524.80
1 Week
4,439.69
increased by 1,649.99
1 Month
2,505.19
decreased by 284.51
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5536 | 4.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 11.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8740 | 78.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.3540 | -7.75*** |
| γ2 | 0.5950 | 8.46*** |
| γ3 | -0.4638 | -7.46*** |
| γ4 | 0.3354 | 4.87*** |
| γ5 | -0.1140 | -1.80* |
| γ6 | -0.0932 | -1.06 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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