Kudo Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
10,422.95
1 Week
4,963.16
1 Month
2,932.25
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1163 | 0.25 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8492 | 26.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1163 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.40 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0538 | 0.41 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9455 | 11.80*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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