V-Lab
Hammock Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
7,586.53
increased by 2,865.34
1 Week
4,928.59
increased by 207.40
1 Month
4,268.97
decreased by 452.22
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8886 | 6.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1061 | 3.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8553 | 21.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0435 | -0.17 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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