V-Lab
Hammock Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
6,471.07
increased by 2,720.36
1 Week
3,956.57
increased by 205.86
1 Month
3,575.97
decreased by 174.74
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.23** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0989 | 8.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9008 | 196.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0006 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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