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Tong Ren Tang Tech Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,851.64

decreased by 243.63

1 Week

5,255.44

increased by 160.17

1 Month

6,056.37

increased by 961.10

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Tong Ren Tang Tech Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 124 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1341
5.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0755
10.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9189
123.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0002
0.05

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

124 days