V-Lab
Tong Ren Tang Tech Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,002.41
decreased by 256.49
1 Week
5,400.05
increased by 141.15
1 Month
6,086.48
increased by 827.58
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 9, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 554 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 17% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0667 | 19.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9263 | 553.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0114 | 2.04** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
554 days
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