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Tong Ren Tang Tech Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

5,002.41

decreased by 256.49

1 Week

5,400.05

increased by 141.15

1 Month

6,086.48

increased by 827.58

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Tong Ren Tang Tech Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 9, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 554 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 17% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0667
19.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9263
553.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0114
2.04**

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

554 days