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V-Lab

Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

202,971.30

decreased by 9,199.70

1 Week

209,456.12

decreased by 2,714.88

1 Month

319,984.85

increased by 107,813.85

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 456 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3993
4.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2185
6.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7800
22.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.2900
0.18
γ2-2.7202
-1.08
γ37.6621
3.76***
γ4-9.4282
-5.83***
γ56.0274
6.91***
γ6-4.0728
-5.76***
γ75.5963
5.09***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

456 days