Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
172,000.60
increased by 107,683.65
1 Week
90,613.24
increased by 26,296.29
1 Month
78,383.12
increased by 14,066.17
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2013 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 492 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3505 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2179 | 6.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7807 | 22.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.3554 | 0.20 |
| γ2 | -3.0361 | -1.13 |
| γ3 | 8.2857 | 3.98*** |
| γ4 | -10.0229 | -5.98*** |
| γ5 | 6.2882 | 6.86*** |
| γ6 | -4.0351 | -5.35*** |
| γ7 | 4.9041 | 4.08*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
492 days
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