V-Lab
Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
202,971.30
decreased by 9,199.70
1 Week
209,456.12
decreased by 2,714.88
1 Month
319,984.85
increased by 107,813.85
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 456 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3993 | 4.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2185 | 6.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7800 | 22.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.2900 | 0.18 |
| γ2 | -2.7202 | -1.08 |
| γ3 | 7.6621 | 3.76*** |
| γ4 | -9.4282 | -5.83*** |
| γ5 | 6.0274 | 6.91*** |
| γ6 | -4.0728 | -5.76*** |
| γ7 | 5.5963 | 5.09*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
456 days
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