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Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

209,608.20

decreased by 24,159.30

1 Week

248,762.70

increased by 14,995.20

1 Month

346,262.86

increased by 112,495.36

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Virtual Mind Holding Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2013 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.10
αARCH0.0774
1.74*
βGARCH0.8903
63.59***
γleverage0.0647
1.06

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0774
1.74*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8903
63.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0647
1.06

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-