V-Lab
Dive Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
3,504.60
decreased by 277.30
1 Week
3,786.64
increased by 4.74
1 Month
5,488.51
increased by 1,706.61
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2024 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8006 | 8.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1575 | 4.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7351 | 10.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -2.0158 | -4.75*** |
| γ2 | 4.5132 | 4.57*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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