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V-Lab

Dive Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

3,504.60

decreased by 277.30

1 Week

3,786.64

increased by 4.74

1 Month

5,488.51

increased by 1,706.61

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dive Group Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 27, 2024 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8006
8.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1575
4.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7351
10.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-2.0158
-4.75***
γ24.5132
4.57***

Persistence:

0.893

Half-life:

6 days