V-Lab
Dive Group Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
2,222.44
1 Week
2,674.96
1 Month
5,524.75
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2024 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1779 | 2.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8226 | 51.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1779 | -2.34** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.9486 | 3.72*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9759 | 151.38*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
7 days
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