V-Lab
Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
4,052.26
decreased by 237.47
1 Week
4,486.87
increased by 197.14
1 Month
5,465.00
increased by 1,175.27
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 95 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4429 | 7.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1250 | 11.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8677 | 75.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0009 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
95 days
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