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Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

4,052.26

decreased by 237.47

1 Week

4,486.87

increased by 197.14

1 Month

5,465.00

increased by 1,175.27

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 8, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 95 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4429
7.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1250
11.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8677
75.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0009
0.70

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

95 days