V-Lab
Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
4,225.35
decreased by 137.39
1 Week
4,456.35
increased by 93.61
1 Month
5,610.76
increased by 1,248.02
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 436 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 85% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0789 | 28.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8859 | 379.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0673 | 11.78*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
436 days
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