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Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

4,225.35

decreased by 137.39

1 Week

4,456.35

increased by 93.61

1 Month

5,610.76

increased by 1,248.02

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Tainan Enterprises Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 8, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 436 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 85% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
7.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0789
28.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8859
379.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0673
11.78***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

436 days