V-Lab
Solelytex Industrial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
5,754.86
decreased by 586.23
1 Week
6,070.14
decreased by 270.95
1 Month
5,173.92
decreased by 1,167.17
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2002 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 517 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~517 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.5149 | 5.37*** |
| αARCH | 0.1642 | 16.03*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8345 | 86.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0139 | 0.97 |
0.999
Persistence517d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5149 | 5.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1642 | 16.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8345 | 86.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0139 | 0.97 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
517 days
Other Solelytex Industrial Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities