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Solelytex Industrial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4,095.33

decreased by 879.29

1 Week

4,492.16

decreased by 482.46

1 Month

4,285.02

decreased by 689.60

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Solelytex Industrial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 176 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1032
4.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1729
16.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8231
77.23***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0578
3.09***
γ2-0.1274
-4.37***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

176 days