V-Lab
Solelytex Industrial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,095.33
decreased by 879.29
1 Week
4,492.16
decreased by 482.46
1 Month
4,285.02
decreased by 689.60
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 176 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1032 | 4.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1729 | 16.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8231 | 77.23*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0578 | 3.09*** |
| γ2 | -0.1274 | -4.37*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
176 days
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