V-Lab
Solelytex Industrial Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
7,445.07
decreased by 1,011.30
1 Week
7,854.33
decreased by 602.04
1 Month
6,137.26
decreased by 2,319.11
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2002 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~106 daysAsymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.9137 | 0.98 |
| αARCH | 0.0397 | 3.83*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8681 | 123.28*** |
| γleverage | 0.1714 | 9.71*** |
0.993
Persistence106d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9137 | 0.98 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0397 | 3.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8681 | 123.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1714 | 9.71*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
106 days
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