V-Lab
Solelytex Industrial Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,881.40
decreased by 743.32
1 Week
5,107.60
decreased by 517.12
1 Month
4,841.70
decreased by 783.02
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 108 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9201 | 3.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0400 | 15.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8675 | 491.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1722 | 38.73*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
108 days
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