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Akikawa Foods & Farms Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

7,500.60

decreased by 880.26

1 Week

6,484.05

decreased by 1,896.81

1 Month

4,302.38

decreased by 4,078.48

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akikawa Foods & Farms Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 1997 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 53 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9961
4.34***
αARCH0.1141
10.35***
βGARCH0.8729
72.87***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0486
-4.26***
γ20.0836
4.22***

0.987

Persistence

53d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9961
4.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1141
10.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8729
72.87***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0486
-4.26***
γ20.0836
4.22***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days