Akikawa Foods & Farms Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026
1 Day
6,900.55
1 Week
6,194.95
1 Month
4,296.31
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 1997 to Nov 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1568 | 9.09*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6741 | 18.02*** |
| γleverage | -0.1568 | -4.27*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.77 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0798 | 4.80*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9202 | 56.68*** |
0.752
Persistence2d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1568 | 9.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6741 | 18.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1568 | -4.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.77 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0798 | 4.80*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9202 | 56.68*** |
Persistence:
0.752
Half-life:
2 days
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