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V-Lab

Tianjin Cap Envmntl Protn Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

3,871.76

decreased by 182.03

1 Week

4,122.90

increased by 69.11

1 Month

3,887.41

decreased by 166.38

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Cap Envmntl Protn ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2173
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0579
2.41**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9293
26.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3719
-2.44**
γ20.5449
2.61***
γ3-0.0485
-0.42
γ4-0.1592
-1.38
γ5-0.3115
-1.71*

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days