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Epiroc Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

5,690.13

increased by 5,203.03

1 Week

1,611.15

increased by 1,124.05

1 Month

720.24

increased by 233.14

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Epiroc Ab ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 26, 2018 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2141
2.55**
αARCH0.1969
3.25***
βGARCH0.7847
18.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.6611
-2.36**
γ21.1476
2.57**
γ3-0.6367
-1.59

0.982

Persistence

37d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2141
2.55**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1969
3.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7847
18.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.6611
-2.36**
γ21.1476
2.57**
γ3-0.6367
-1.59

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days