V-Lab
Epiroc Ab ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
17,454.18
1 Week
3,856.11
1 Month
1,194.80
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 26, 2018 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.2092 | 2.91*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5265 | 3.73*** |
| γleverage | -0.2092 | -1.54 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 5.8937 | 2.40** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.5676 | 3.69*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.4324 | 3.86*** |
0.631
Persistence2d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2092 | 2.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5265 | 3.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2092 | -1.54 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.8937 | 2.40** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5676 | 3.69*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4324 | 3.86*** |
Persistence:
0.631
Half-life:
2 days
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