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V-Lab

Tecan Group Ag Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

3,915.94

increased by 1,948.14

1 Week

2,467.02

increased by 499.22

1 Month

2,482.25

increased by 514.45

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tecan Group Ag ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5948
2.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0728
2.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9092
24.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.2194
-1.43
γ20.5629
2.38**
γ3-0.5118
-2.65***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days