V-Lab
Tecan Group Ag ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
4,723.58
1 Week
3,194.14
1 Month
3,204.06
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0771 | 7.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9143 | 222.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0771 | -2.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 50.65*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9940 | 764.01*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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