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Daimler Truck Holding Ag Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

4,715.73

decreased by 194.56

1 Week

5,091.11

increased by 180.82

1 Month

4,949.35

increased by 39.06

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Daimler Truck Holding Ag ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1283
7.30***
αARCH0.0447
3.07***
βGARCH0.9483
54.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0709
0.94

0.993

Persistence

99d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1283
7.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0447
3.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9483
54.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0709
0.94

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days