Daimler Truck Holding Ag Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026
1 Day
4,242.03
decreased by 195.73
1 Week
4,640.52
increased by 202.76
1 Month
4,527.42
increased by 89.66
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
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How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1831 trading days (~7.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1831 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.86 |
| αARCH | 0.0430 | 1.41 |
| βGARCH | 0.9522 | 59.41*** |
| γleverage | 0.0088 | 0.23 |
1.000
Persistence1831d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.86 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0430 | 1.41 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9522 | 59.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0088 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1831 days
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