V-Lab
Moda-Innochips Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
12,346.41
increased by 6,804.69
1 Week
5,647.20
increased by 105.48
1 Month
3,762.95
decreased by 1,778.77
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2005 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3399 | 5.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2095 | 17.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7860 | 68.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0141 | -1.91* |
| γ2 | 0.0787 | 5.47*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
152 days
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