Skip to main content
V-Lab

Moda-Innochips Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

12,346.41

increased by 6,804.69

1 Week

5,647.20

increased by 105.48

1 Month

3,762.95

decreased by 1,778.77

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Moda-Innochips Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2005 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3399
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2095
17.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7860
68.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0141
-1.91*
γ20.0787
5.47***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

152 days