V-Lab
Moda-Innochips Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
13,054.97
1 Week
5,742.53
1 Month
3,687.86
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2005 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2284 | 0.64 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7873 | 220.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2284 | -0.37 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0577 | 0.96 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9830 | 73.25*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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