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Dap Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

6,152.65

increased by 5,172.24

1 Week

2,157.88

increased by 1,177.47

1 Month

1,278.91

increased by 298.50

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dap Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 29, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 779 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3277
5.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1758
15.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8233
69.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0109
2.10**

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

779 days