V-Lab
Dap Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
7,193.58
1 Week
2,403.69
1 Month
1,361.97
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 29, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2107 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8132 | 20.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2107 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.1018 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1940 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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