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HC HomeCenter Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

7,828.56

increased by 4,402.50

1 Week

5,586.51

increased by 2,160.45

1 Month

2,505.52

decreased by 920.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HC HomeCenter Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2007 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~106 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8253
4.51***
αARCH0.2258
7.38***
βGARCH0.7677
22.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0225
3.30***

0.994

Persistence

106d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8253
4.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2258
7.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7677
22.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0225
3.30***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

106 days