Skip to main content
V-Lab

CosLeaguer Global Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

11,196.72

increased by 6,476.04

1 Week

5,598.50

increased by 877.82

1 Month

3,389.45

decreased by 1,331.23

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CosLeaguer Global Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 38508 trading days (~152.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0016
7.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2479
0.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7521
0.82
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.3240
-4.24***
γ20.4363
3.39***
γ3-0.1025
-0.61

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

38508 days