CosLeaguer Global Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
8,616.51
1 Week
4,046.86
1 Month
3,009.98
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2007 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2208 | 0.18 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7646 | 59.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0075 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
37 days
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