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V-Lab

Digital Graphics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,809.65

increased by 2,942.16

1 Week

3,094.01

increased by 226.52

1 Month

1,905.78

decreased by 961.71

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Digital Graphics Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 242 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9809
5.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1876
20.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8095
88.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0268
-3.60***
γ20.0615
4.57***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

242 days