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Digital Graphics Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

4,669.62

increased by 1,867.45

1 Week

2,707.25

decreased by 94.92

1 Month

1,737.90

decreased by 1,064.27

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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1Y ·

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graph of Digital Graphics Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 12, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9060
12.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1267
28.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8325
395.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0816
9.29***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days