V-Lab
Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
169.49
decreased by 9.37
1 Week
172.95
decreased by 5.91
1 Month
162.07
decreased by 16.79
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 40773 trading days (~161.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0227 | 6.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2845 | 1.34 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7155 | 3.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0157 | -1.46 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
40773 days
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