V-Lab
Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
184.82
increased by 13.58
1 Week
164.97
decreased by 6.27
1 Month
170.92
decreased by 0.32
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2010 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 38508 trading days (~152.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~38508 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0225 | 6.90*** |
| αARCH | 0.2839 | 1.32 |
| βGARCH | 0.7161 | 3.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0158 | -1.49 |
1.000
Persistence38508d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0225 | 6.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2839 | 1.32 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7161 | 3.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0158 | -1.49 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
38508 days
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