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Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

184.82

increased by 13.58

1 Week

164.97

decreased by 6.27

1 Month

170.92

decreased by 0.32

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

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graph of Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 2010 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 38508 trading days (~152.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~38508 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0225
6.90***
αARCH0.2839
1.32
βGARCH0.7161
3.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0158
-1.49

1.000

Persistence

38508d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0225
6.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2839
1.32
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7161
3.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0158
-1.49

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

38508 days