V-Lab
Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
225.24
increased by 23.04
1 Week
193.49
decreased by 8.71
1 Month
300.05
increased by 97.85
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 40773 trading days (~161.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0251 | 6.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2850 | 1.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7150 | 3.27*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0157 | -1.43 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
40773 days
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