V-Lab
Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
189.92
increased by 43.39
1 Week
159.02
increased by 12.49
1 Month
160.56
increased by 14.03
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2010 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 40773 trading days (~161.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~40773 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0222 | 6.87*** |
| αARCH | 0.2842 | 1.19 |
| βGARCH | 0.7158 | 2.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0162 | -1.51 |
1.000
Persistence40773d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0222 | 6.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2842 | 1.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7158 | 2.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0162 | -1.51 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
40773 days
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