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Zhejiang Fuchunjiang Environmental Thermoelectric Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
190.32
increased by 64.07
1 Week
150.09
increased by 23.84
1 Month
150.50
increased by 24.25
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 2010 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 146% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~90 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 146% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.1279 | 7.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7714 | 95.58*** |
| γleverage | 0.1861 | 5.79*** |
0.992
Persistence90d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1279 | 7.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7714 | 95.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1861 | 5.79*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
90 days
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