S&P 500 Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 13th, 2026
1 Day
18.35%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
18.15%
decreased by 1.34%
1 Month
17.53%
decreased by 1.96%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 12:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3691 | 7.91 | |
| 0.1019 | 10.11 | |
| 0.8650 | 72.76 | |
| 0.0900 | 6.78 | |
| -0.1429 | -6.65 | |
| 0.0839 | 5.30 | |
| -0.0574 | -3.91 | |
| 0.0569 | 3.00 | |
| -0.0604 | -2.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
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