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V-Lab

United Maritime Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

56.44%

decreased by 9.50%

1 Week

88.23%

increased by 22.29%

1 Month

239.10%

increased by 173.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of United Maritime Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 100% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

1.0000
1,390.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2360
1,058.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-451.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
531.91***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0957
15.41***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9043
211.58***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days