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V-Lab

United Maritime Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

50.14%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

54.93%

increased by 4.36%

1 Month

57.97%

increased by 7.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of United Maritime Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3264
14.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3264
-14.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.1437
0.15
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.163

Half-life:

0 days