V-Lab
United Maritime Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
56.44%
1 Week
88.23%
1 Month
239.10%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 100% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 1.0000 | 1,390.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2360 | 1,058.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -451.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 531.91*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0957 | 15.41*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9043 | 211.58*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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