Skip to main content
V-Lab

United Maritime Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

66.47%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

66.59%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

67.07%

increased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of United Maritime Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 167 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6308
2.04**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9959
2.20**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-119.4773
-0.60
γ2168.4744
1.28
γ3-61.7638
-3.11***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

167 days