V-Lab
United Maritime Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
69.18%
increased by 0.08%
1 Week
69.33%
increased by 0.23%
1 Month
69.90%
increased by 0.80%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6056 | 0.99 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9944 | 0.49 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -139.0630 | -0.15 |
| γ2 | 192.1567 | 0.32 |
| γ3 | -65.5724 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
122 days
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