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V-Lab

Innovator Uncapped Accelerated US Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

16.93%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

17.15%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

17.78%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Innovator Uncapped Accelerated US Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0666
7.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8856
100.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1388
6.68***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days