Innovator Uncapped Accelerated US Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
16.93%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
17.15%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Month
17.78%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0666 | 7.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8856 | 100.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1388 | 6.68*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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