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Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

28.99%

decreased by 3.78%

1 Week

28.39%

decreased by 4.38%

1 Month

26.31%

decreased by 6.46%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 05:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2009 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 278% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 278% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0322
6.72***
αARCH0.0878
2.54**
βGARCH0.7591
32.39***
γleverage0.2445
5.56***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0322
6.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0878
2.54**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7591
32.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2445
5.56***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days