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V-Lab

CBOE Silver ETF Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, February 14th, 2022):

1 Day

87.85%

1 Week

74.84%

1 Month

65.39%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 3, 2022 at 05:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Silver ETF Volatility Index S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Feb 11, 2022

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1348
5.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1554
2.56**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4405
3.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.5652
0.85
γ2-0.8465
-0.82
γ30.4974
0.80
γ4-0.6054
-0.94
γ50.7766
1.13
γ6-0.5452
-0.97
γ70.2171
0.39
γ80.5505
0.85
γ9-1.8416
-3.01***
γ101.8300
4.90***

Persistence:

0.596

Half-life:

1 days