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Valid Solucoes E Servicos De MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

28.96%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

30.58%

increased by 1.18%

1 Month

33.49%

increased by 4.09%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Valid Solucoes E Servicos De MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 150% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0600
16.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7991
94.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0900
13.79***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0054
2.15**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0132
5.32***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9860
345.35***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days