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V-Lab

ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

64.08%

decreased by 2.72%

1 Week

63.80%

decreased by 3.00%

1 Month

63.02%

decreased by 3.78%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ProShares Ultra Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 21, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 265% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0355
4.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7505
42.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0940
9.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7401
0.36
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6654
0.41
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1721
0.08

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days