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Vinacomin Vang Danh Coal GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

242.69%

decreased by 34.44%

1 Week

260.04%

decreased by 17.09%

1 Month

314.68%

increased by 37.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vinacomin Vang Danh Coal GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1,329.6115
0.87
αARCH0.1150
19.67***
βGARCH0.9839
52.14***
νDF2.0047
1,990.81***

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,329.6115
0.87
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1150
19.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9839
52.14***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0047
1,990.81***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days