V-Lab
Vinacomin Vang Danh Coal GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
242.69%
decreased by 34.44%
1 Week
260.04%
decreased by 17.09%
1 Month
314.68%
increased by 37.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1,329.6115 | 0.87 |
| αARCH | 0.1150 | 19.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9839 | 52.14*** |
| νDF | 2.0047 | 1,990.81*** |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1,329.6115 | 0.87 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1150 | 19.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9839 | 52.14*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0047 | 1,990.81*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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